Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 1.446611 1.642735 1.857508 2.110455 2.400599 2.723450 3.110550
2025-11-09 1.094322 1.336550 1.623058 1.988032 2.442172 2.990693 3.706511
2025-11-16 0.898437 1.165836 1.503157 1.962289 2.574624 3.368280 4.483211
2025-11-23 0.751301 1.026327 1.392832 1.920906 2.668790 3.699729 5.245230
2025-11-30 0.681783 0.975327 1.386324 2.009896 2.942872 4.304012 6.471464
2025-12-07 0.615116 0.916460 1.357215 2.057402 3.157820 4.847498 7.689849
2025-12-14 0.546172 0.843467 1.295445 2.043481 3.272052 5.247501 8.740269
2025-12-21 0.476955 0.760360 1.206276 1.971768 3.279726 5.472150 9.527946
2025-12-28 0.449148 0.738894 1.210579 2.050364 3.543221 6.152569 11.205967
2026-01-04 0.424554 0.719229 1.214466 2.126923 3.810794 6.873361 13.069883
2026-01-11 0.396814 0.690633 1.199162 2.166343 4.014446 7.503024 14.858231
2026-01-18 0.371202 0.662649 1.181218 2.197546 4.204811 8.130515 16.740595
2026-01-25 0.334518 0.611625 1.117749 2.138370 4.218633 8.427520 18.016189
2026-02-01 0.295977 0.553114 1.034140 2.029876 4.119221 8.481330 18.776544
2026-02-08 0.272775 0.521322 0.997871 2.011369 4.202961 8.930490 20.508143
2026-02-15 0.249915 0.487780 0.954513 1.972734 4.238090 9.278633 22.065663
2026-02-22 0.243013 0.485279 0.972776 2.066338 4.576518 10.356002 25.601388
2026-03-01 0.232286 0.473778 0.971200 2.116327 4.822689 11.256813 28.865326
2026-03-08 0.216793 0.450697 0.942766 2.102504 4.917119 11.807326 31.311634
2026-03-15 0.197814 0.418309 0.891007 2.028832 4.857018 11.965860 32.714927
2026-03-22 0.192732 0.415719 0.904389 2.110000 5.191770 13.182614 37.365631
2026-03-29 0.187674 0.412650 0.916301 2.189017 5.532468 14.469982 42.499206
2026-04-05 0.180212 0.403361 0.912927 2.229705 5.778540 15.540413 47.201965